Development of a simulator for the urban environmental load prediction using system dynamics

In this study we are investigating the urban environment, including complicated social dynamics, as the “urban system”. We have developed a simulator which can predict the environmental load for a city, comprised mainly of buildings, over the medium and long term. In this paper we describe the development of this simulator and verify its accuracy by comparing the calculated values with real data, investigating the population, housing, non-residential building, traffic and environment sectors, all elements of the simulator