Building thermal modelling: An example of radiative exchange between system and enveloppe taking account uncertainties

The problem developed and analyzed in this paper is that of the estimation of the uncertainty associated with the results obtained by numerical simulation codes of physical systems induced from input data. Implicitly posed by the authors is the delicate question concerning the use of the output obtained by calculation codes used in prediction situations, and the reliability which can be attributed to such ouput. One example of thermal behaviour of simple physical systems is treated, serving as an illustration.